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Latest brief, 30 Oct

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Friday, 30 October 2026 covers Thursday, 29 October 2026, UTC

A 4% drop to a 30 day low as the Binance hack hits

Bitcoin fell 4.12% on 29 October to close at $77,992, a new 30 day low, on 159% of normal volume. Most of the drop came in the last four hours of the day as reports spread of multibillion-dollar outflows from Binance.

Since the close

00:00 to 05:00 UTC: $78,280, +0.37% since the close, range $76,500 to $78,473

Bitcoin kept falling after the close, to $76,500 by 02:00 UTC, then recovered to $78,280 by 05:00 UTC, 0.37% above the close. Overnight Binance confirmed the breach, estimated at $6.3 billion and traced to a compromised employee laptop, said about $3 billion has been frozen onchain, and its co-CEO Yi He pledged to cover all user losses. Tether and Circle froze stolen stablecoins, BNB fell about 7%, and reports put liquidations across crypto at about $1.5 billion over 24 hours.

Close
$77,992
-4.12% on the day
Range
$77,910 to $81,971
4.99% wide
Funding
0.0039%
median, per period
Open interest
$29.5B
-0.64% in 24h
Fear and greed
51
0 to 100

Price and levels

Bitcoin spent the morning around $80,000 and rose to the day's high of $81,971 by 16:00 UTC after the US GDP and inflation data. From about $80,850 at 20:00 UTC it then fell, with the 20:00 hour trading $326M, the busiest hour of the day, and closed near the low of $77,910. That low is a new 7 and 30 day low, under the previous mark of $79,221. The close is below the weekly open of $80,154, the 50 day average of $81,937 and the monthly open of $83,624, with the 200 day average at $73,147. Bitcoin is now 29.4% under its 52 week high close and 37.5% under its all-time high.

Previous day
$80,397 to $81,823
7 day range
$77,910 to $82,061
30 day range
$77,910 to $87,220
Weekly open
$80,154
Monthly open
$83,624
50 day average
$81,937
200 day average
$73,147
52 week high close
$110,541 (29.4% below)

Derivatives

Median funding was 0.0039% per period. Open interest dipped only 0.64% to $29.5B over the day, so most positions were still open at the close. News reports put leveraged liquidations across crypto at about $1.5 billion in the hours that followed, mostly long positions. Perpetuals traded 2.3 basis points under spot.

Market mood

Seven day realized volatility jumped to 32.9% and the 30 day figure to 29.0%. The fear and greed index still read 51 at the close, while breadth fell to 11.6% of coins above their 50 day average. Before the hack the macro news was firm: US GDP grew 3.4% against 3.2% expected, and core PCE inflation rose to 3.12% year on year from 3.01%.

Calendar

Yesterday

  • 12:30 UTC US: Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Actual 3.12%, previous 3.01%)
  • 12:30 UTC US: GDP Growth Rate (QoQ, annualized) (Actual 3.4%, forecast 3.2%, previous 2.2%)
  • 12:30 UTC US: Initial Jobless Claims (Actual 194K, forecast 198K, previous 194K)
  • 12:30 UTC US: Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Actual 0.3%, forecast 0.3%, previous 0.2%)
  • 13:15 UTC EU: ECB Interest Rate Decision (Deposit Facility) (Previous 2.5%)
  • 18:00 UTC JP: BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Previous 1.04%)

Headlines

Figures cover the UTC day, 00:00 to 24:00 UTC. This describes the market; it is not investment advice.

In every brief

01

Price and levels

Yesterday's open, close and range, and where price sits against the previous day, the weekly and monthly open, the 50 and 200 day averages.

02

Derivatives

Funding, open interest and the perp basis across futures exchanges: who is leaning which way, in plain words.

03

Market mood

Volatility, fear and greed, Bitcoin's share of volume and how many coins hold above their 50 day average.

04

Calendar and headlines

The macro releases that move the market today, yesterday's results, and the Bitcoin news worth knowing.

Questions

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